CNN/ USA TODAY/ GALLUP POLL 21ST CENTURY/ MILLENNIUM POLL -- FINAL QUESTIONNAIRE -- AC: 9857 TIMBERLINE: 124440 R: PRINCETON JOB: #98-09-037 N=1000 National Adults David Moore, Lydia Saad September 30-October 1, 1998 INTRODUCTION: Hello, I am calling from the Gallup Organization. I'd like to ask a few questions of the youngest male, 18 years of age or older, who is now at home (IF NO MALE, ASK: May I please speak with the oldest female, 18 years of age or older, who is now at home?) The questions we have in this survey tonight deal with what life will be like in the future. For most of the questions, we will ask you to think about the year 2025, that is about 25 years from now when today's children will be adults. First, 1. Overall, in the year 2025 do you think the quality of life for average Americans will be better or worse than it is today? [620] 1 Better 2 Worse 3 Same 4 Don't know/ refused 1a. Old #5 {628-630] 2. Next I am going to mention some specific aspects of life. For each one lease say whether you expect conditions in that area to be better or worse in the year 2025 than they are today. How about ... 1 Better 2 Worse 3 Same 4 Don't know/ refused A. Race relations [631] B. Moral values in society [632] C. The availability of good medical care [633] D. The threat of terrorism [634] E. The crime rate [635] F. The quality of the environment [636] 3. Thinking about some institutions in society, do you think [rtr A-C] will have a larger influence or smaller influence in the daily life of Americans in the year 2025 than it has today? 1 Larger influence 2 Smaller influence 3 Same influence 4 Don't know/ refused A. The federal government [638] B. Local government [639] C. Organized religion [640] 4. Still thinking about 2025, do you think it will be easier or harder for people to [rtr A-C] 1 Easier 2 Harder 3 Same 4 Don't know/ refused A. Raise children to be good people [641] B. Afford medical care [642] C. Find and keep a good job [643] Next, we have some questions about what family situations will be like twenty-five years from now. 5. By 2025 do you think there will be more families or fewer families where both parents are employed? [646] 1 More families 2 Fewer families 3 Same 5 Don't know/ refused 6. By 2025 do you think single-parent families will be more common or less common than they are today? [647] 1 More common 2 Less common 3 Same 4 Don't know/ refused 7. In 2025, that is about 25 years form now, do you think there will be more or less of each of the following? 1 More 2 Less 3 Same 4 Don't know/ refused A. Personal freedom [648] B. Personal privacy [ 649] C. Personal economic security [650] D. Health and physical well-being [651] 8. Which of the following events, if any, do you think will have occurred by 2025? 1 Yes, will have occurred 2 No, will not have occurred 3 Don't know/ refused A. A worldwide collapse of the economy [652] B. The environmental catastrophe [653] C. The emergence of a deadly new disease [654] D. A military strike or attack using nuclear weapons [655] 9. Just your best guess, do you think the United States will or will not be involved in a full scale war by the year 2025, or not? [656] 1 Yes, will 2 No, will not 3 Don't now/ refused 10. IF YES: Which country do you think the United States is most likely to become involved with in full scale war? [657-58] 01 Other 02 Don't know 03 Refused 04 Hold 05 Hold 06 Iran 07 Iraq 08 Russia 09 Arab countries 10 Middle East 11. By 2025 do you think humans will have made or received contact with alien-life forms? [659] 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't know/ refused 12. IF YES: Just your best guess, do you think those aliens are more likely to be friendly or hostile to humans? {660] 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't know/ refused 13. In the year 2025, do you think Americans will be more religious or less religious than they are today? [661] 1 More religious 2 Less religious 3 Same 4 Don't know/ refused 14. Next, as I describe some practices, please say whether you think each one will be commonplace in the year 2025, or not? 1 Yes, common 2 No, not common 3 Don't know/ marriage A. Illicit drug use, such s marijuana and cocaine B. Gay marriage C. Physician assisted suicide D. Cloning of humans 15. Now thinking about these same practices, do you think that in 2025 each one will generally be legal or not legal in the United States? 1 Legal 2 Not legal 3 Don't now/ refused A. Illicit drug use, such as marijuana and cocaine [666] B. Gay marriage [667] C. Physician assisted suicide [668] D. Cloning of humans [669] 16. Thinking about the ethnic and racial makeup of Americans, do you think that y 2025 Whites will still be in the majority in the Unites States, or will Hispanics and non-whites be in the majority? [670] 1 Whites will be the more majority 2 Non whites will be the majority 3 Don't know/ refused 17. In the year 2025, do you think there will be [rotate 1-2] than there is today? [671] 1 More peace among nations 2 More conflict among nations 3 Same as today 4 Don't know/ refused 18. Next, I'm going to read some things that might or might not happen in the future. For each one, please tell me whether or not you expect it to happen in the next twenty-five years, that is, by the year 2025. 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't know/ refused A. Cancer will be cured [712] B. AIDS will be cured [713] C. Most people will do their jobs from home [714] D. Most people will be self-employed, rather than work for a company [715] E. The country will have elected a woman president [716] F. The country will have elected a black president [717] G. Most stores will be replaced by shopping on the Internet [718] H. Space travel will be common for ordinary Americans [719] I. People will routinely live to be 100 years old [730] J. Cars will largely be replaced by mass transportation [731] Finally we have a few questions about what might happen tot the world in the next century, meaning in the next, 100 years. First, 19. How likely is it that civilization as we know it will be destroyed by a nuclear or other man-made disaster within the next century? [720] 1 Very likely 2 Somewhat likely 3 Somewhat unlikely 4 Very unlikely 5 Don't know/ refused 20. How likely is it that the Earth will be destroyed by an asteroid, ozone layer problem, or other environmental disaster within the next century? [721] 1 Very likely 2 Somewhat likely 3 Somewhat unlikely 4 Very unlikely 5 Don't know/ refused 21. How likely is it that the world will come to an end because of Judgement Day or another religious event in the next century? [722] 1 Very likely 2 Somewhat unlikely 3 Somewhat unlikely 4 Very unlikely 5 Don't know/ refused GO TO DEMOGRAPHICS [DEMOGRAPHICS START HERE] That completes the interview. I'd just like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. PLEASE RECORD AND VERIFY PHONE NUMBER: ( ) _____ - __________ AREA CODE EXCHANGE NUMBER INTERVIEW TIME ____________ D1. CHECK RESPONDENT'S SEX: [44] 1 Male 2 Female D2. What is your age? [45,46] 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 0 00 = Don't know D3. What is the last grade or class that you completed in school? (DO NOT READ) [47] 1 None, or grade 1-4 -- GO TO D4 2 Grades 5, 6 or 7 -- GO TO D4 3 Grade 8 -- GO TO D4 4 High school incomplete (Grades 9 - 11) -- GO TO D4 5 High school graduate, Grade 12 -- GO TO D4 6 Technical, trade, or business after high school -- GO TO D4 7 College/university incomplete -- GO TO D4 8 College/university graduate or more 9 DON'T KNOW/REFUSED -- GO TO D4 D3A. Do you have a post-graduate education beyond a 4-year bachelor's degree? [512] 1 Yes (includes masters degree, doctorate, law degree, etc.) 2 No 3 Don't know/ refused D4. Are you, yourself of Hispanic origin or descent, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or other Spanish background? [513] 1 Yes 2 No 3 DON'T KNOW 4 REFUSED D4a. What is your race? Are you white, African-American, or some other race? [514,515] 01 Other (list) 02 (DK) 03 (Refused) 04 HOLD 05 HOLD 06 White 07 African-American/Black 08 (Hispanic) -- (Continue) D4b. (If code "08" in D4a, ask:) Do you consider yourself to be white-Hispanic, or black-Hispanic? [516,517] 01 Other (list) 02 (DK) 03 (Refused) 04 HOLD 05 HOLD 06 White-Hispanic 07 Black-Hispanic 08 (Hispanic/Respondent refuses to discriminate) D5. Is your total annual household income before taxes $20,00 or more or is it less tan $20,000 [553-554] (IF UNDER ASK:) Is it over or under $15,000? (IF UNDER ASK:) Is it over or under $10,000? (IF OVER ASK:) Is it over or under $30,000? (IF OVER ASK:) Is it over or under $50,000? (IF OVER ASK:) Is it over or under $75,000? D6. Next, we need to record how many different residential phone lines you have in your household - that is, the number of different phone numbers that are used by adult members of your household. Please do not count phone lines that are used primarily for business purposes, for children, or for electronic equipment -- such as computers and fax machines. How many residential phone numbers are there in your household? [555] 1 One 2 Two 3 Three 4 Four 5 Five or more 6 DON'T KNOW 7 REFUSED D7. In politics, as of today, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat or an Independent? [518] 1 Republican - skip to D8 2 Democrat - skip to D8 3 Independent ---------------------| 4 OTHER PARTY | -- CONTINUE 5 DON'T KNOW/ REFUSED --| D7A. As of today do you lean more tot he Democratic Party or the Republican Party? [519] 1 Democratic 2 Republican 3 Neither/ Other/ Don't' know/ refused We have a few more questions about your background. D8. Which of the following currently applies to you? [760] 1 Employed for pay 2 Unemployed 3 Retired 4 A Homemaker 5 A student 6 None/ other 7 Don't know/ refused D9. What is your marital status? Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married? [761] 1 Married 2 Widowed 3 Divorced 4 Separated 5 Never married 6 No answer/ refused D10. Do you have any children under the age of 18? [762] 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't know/ refused D11. How important would you say religion is in your life - extremely important, very important, moderately important, only somewhat important, or not at all important? [763] 1 Extremely 2 Very 3 Moderately 4 Only somewhat 5 Not at all 6 Don't know/ refused D12. Would you describe yourself as a "born-again" or evangelical Christian? [764] 1 Yes 2 No 3 Don't know/ refused END OF INTERVIEW. THANK RESPONDENT: Thank you very much for your time. Have a nice day/evening. CHECK THE DAY OF WEEK INTERVIEW WAS COMPLETED [553] 1 Mon 2 Tues 3 Wed 4 Thurs 5 Fri 6 Sat 7 Sun [END OF SURVEY]